In a pinch: Edmonds' HR in eighth lifts Brewers
Baseball Betting Lines
07/26/2010 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pinch-hitter Jim Edmonds belted the tie- breaking home run off Bronson Arroyo with two outs in the eighth inning, as Milwaukee edged Cincinnati, 3-2, at Miller Park.
The Brewers, winners of five in a row, had just three hits in the opener of the three-game set, but one was a titanic two-run blast off the bat of Rickie Weeks in the third inning. Starting pitcher Randy Wolf had the other hit, a single just before Weeks' homer off a Miller Lite sign beyond the wall in center field.
Laynce Nix made a costly base-running mistake in the ninth inning, as the Reds suffered their second straight defeat. They also had a six-game winning streak against the Brewers broken.
Wolf allowed five hits and two runs over seven innings. Carlos Villanueva (1-0) pitched the eighth inning to get the win and John Axford survived the ninth for his 15th save.
"Wolf didn't have hit control early and we let him get away," Reds manager Dusty Baker said. "You hate to lose a game like that when Bronson was pitching so well."
Arroyo (10-6) pitched his second complete game of the season and 11th of his career. He walked one and fanned five batters, but dropped his second straight start.
Scott Rolen returned to the lineup for the Reds. The third baseman hadn't played since July 16 due to a right hamstring injury. He was hit by a pitch and scored once.
Edmonds pinch-hit for Villanueva in the eighth and sent a 1-2 offering barely foul down the right field line, home run distance. The next pitch was a no- doubter, a blast to the stands beyond the wall in right-center for his eighth homer of the year.
"Obviously coming off the bench isn't the greatest, but I could run only about 20 percent, so I didn't think I was even going to play tonight," Edmonds said. "We're a long way from first place, but it's nice to get a win. It's going to be an uphill battle for us."
Nix clubbed a pinch-hit double to center with one out in the ninth. Ryan Hanigan was up next and hit a bouncer to third base. Nix was caught between bases and tagged out as Hanigan reached safely. Pinch-hitter Chris Heisey then struck out swinging to end the game.
The Reds loaded the bases with nobody out in the second inning. Drew Stubbs struck out, but Hanigan singled to left for a 2-0 game. Arroyo struck out and Orlando Cabrera grounded out to keep two runners in scoring position.
Arroyo was dominant most of the night, except for the third inning. Wolf singled to left with two outs and Weeks crushed an 0-1 pitch for his 21st homer of the season.
Jonny Gomes singled and stole second in the sixth, but Stubbs flied out to right to end the inning.
The Reds wasted a lead-off walk by Brandon Phillips in the eighth.
Game Notes
Arroyo fell to 9-7 lifetime against the Brewers...Edmonds is 10 homers shy of 400 for his career...Gomes had three of Cincinnati's six hits...The Brewers have homered in 15 straight games, the longest stretch for the team since July 1-24, when they did it in a franchise-record 20 straight games.
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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